7/6 Three-Bagger Thursday (6 games)

Orioles (Kyle Bradish, RHP) @ Yankees (Luis Severino, RHP)
Royals (Jordan Lyles, RHP) @ Guardians (Tanner Bibee, RHP)
Rangers (Nathan Eovaldi, RHP) @ Red Sox (Kutter Crawford, RHP)
Mariners (George Kirby, RHP) @ Astros (TBD)
Mets (Carlos Carrasco, RHP) @ D-backs (Ryne Nelson, RHP)
Pirates (Johan Oviedo, RHP) @ Dodgers (Julio Urias, LHP)

Today’s weather

Good morning! Bad day to fade the Reds yesterday. Eeked out a small profit despite having zero exposure to any of them. My best team earned me $40 and contained a fat ZERO from Pete Alonso. So he just made the theoretical banned list for me. No CWS/TOR was a bummer yesterday as well. I thought Blue Jays were being way under priced against Lance Lynn, and Vladdy is heating up. Let’s move on to Thursday. I’m feeling a birthday bink for me today for my 31st.

Pitching Preferences
Nathan Eovaldi
Tanner Bibee
George Kirby
Carlos Carrasco
Kyle Bradish
Julio Urias
Johan Oviedo
Luis Severino

I mentioned yesterday’s pitching slate was full of mid, and we ended up with two SPs over twenty points, lol. (Senga looked unstoppable yesterday). I should have reserved that description for today’s slate, but I think calling this collection of pitchers “mid” is a bit generous. I list more than 6 SP here because I think all of these names are worthy of consideration (yes, even Oviedo.)

I don’t really have a lot of good things to say about these names. Eovaldi gets a revenge game if you’re into that. The Red Sox have a team OPS of .754 against RHP, which ranks 8th in the Majors. It’s not a fantastic spot but he’s my favorite today. I don’t think he’s a separator today, but he’s good, and separating from the SPs today is certainly in his range of outcomes.

The same thing can be said about Bibee today too, who has the juiciest matchup today against the Royals. They are, conversely, putting up an OPS of .654 against RHP, which is 28th in the Majors. Bibee been really good this season, not sure why even I am putting him below Eovaldi today now that I’m writing this. But we’ll allow me to think out loud because it’s my blog. Bibee is the safest pick today at SP.

One last thing I’ll say about this slate of pitching is that Oviedo will go virtually undrafted, and I think he’s a good pitcher. He’s a true enigma though. He has three starts this season where he surrendered 6 or more ER. But the rest of his game log is littered with starts with 1 or 2 ER, and I think that’s in his range out of outcomes today against the Dodgers, any nobody will want any part of that. If I’m the last one left to take a pitcher today, I think I’ll opt for Oviedo for some uniqueness as opposed to doing what everyone else does (not take Oviedo).

Only one “W” here does not hold well for my Oviedo Bull Case.

Favorite Teams
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates

Let’s hit a big one today. The Orioles are facing a righty, so stop me if you’ve heard this before – I’m going to stack the Orioles today. Still no Colton Cowser for us to draft, but Gunnar Henderson was back at leadoff yesterday, so that will be fun if that holds today as well at Yankee Stadium, he’s currently the 6th Oriole off the board as of writing this. That’s a mistake.

The Guardians face Jordan Lyles, and they are a great team to stack against RHP, especially against Lyles who has been throwing like he’s in the HR Derby. We salute our beloved inning eaters. Kwan is a top ten pick today by ADP, and that’s probably correct. He could compile 6 ABs today and get drove in every time he’s on base. Give me some Josh Bell today too. He’s had a bad season, but he still has the ability to homer more than once and break a slate, IMO.

The Rangers get Kutter Crawford, which is awesome. I’m staying true to my brand and getting to them today as often as I can. They’re tough to onslaught but it can be done if you draft enough times and get the right room. Ezequiel Duran no matter what.

The Pirates are facing Julio Urias, who sucks this season, which is awesome because he sucks as a guy. Pirates have a barrage of righties to throw at Urias, but unfortunately McCutchen is a truly questionable to be one of them as he was he fell awkwardly on his elbow after an up and in pitch last night. The perils of being in your upper-30’s, am I right? But still, Henry Davis will be a top-5 drafted player for me today. I can’t wait.

Good luck today! I hope I have something to victory lap tomorrow.

Nez





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