7/25 Turn Two-sday + The Cycle (12 games)

Rockies (Austin Gomber, LHP) @ Nationals (Trevor Williams, RHP)
Mets (Justin Verlander, RHP) @ Yankees (Domingo German, RHP)
Royals (Zack Greinke, RHP) @ Guardians (Aaron Civale, RHP)
Braves (Charlie Morton, RHP) @ Red Sox (Nick Pivetta, RHP)
Mariners (George Kirby, RHP) @ Twins (Pablo Lopez, RHP)
Rangers (Cody Bradford, LHP) @ Astros (J.P. France, RHP)
Cubs (Kyle Hendricks, RHP) @ White Sox (Michael Kopech, RHP)
Reds (Andrew Abbott, LHP) @ Brewers (Corbin Brunes, RHP)
Pirates (Rich Hill, LHP) @ Padres (Blake Snell, LHP)
Cardinals (Steven Matz, LHP) @ D-backs (Merrill Kelly, RHP)
Athletics (Ken Waldichuk, LHP) @ Giants (Alex Cobb, RHP)
Blue Jays (Chris Bassitt, RHP) @ Dodgers (Julio Urias, LHP)

Today’s weather

Pitching Preferences

  • Blake Snell
  • Corbin Burnes
  • Justin Verlander
  • Alex Cobb
  • George Kirby
  • Pablo Lopez
  • Andrew Abbott
  • Aaron Civale
  • Chris Bassitt
  • Julio Urias

Favorite Teams

  • Braves
  • Padres
  • Cubs
  • Dodgers
  • Nationals
  • Red Sox
  • Astros
  • Guardians
  • Rangers
  • Giants
  • D-backs
  • Rockies

Batter Ranks

  1. Ronald Acuna Jr
  2. Freddie Freeman
  3. Fernando Tatis Jr
  4. Matt Olson
  5. Mookie Betts
  6. Cody Bellinger
  7. Kyle Tucker
  8. Austin Riley
  9. Alex Bregman
  10. Paul Goldschmidt
  11. Manny Machado
  12. Juan Soto
  13. Corbin Carroll
  14. Luis Robert Jr
  15. Ha-Seong Kim
  16. Jose Ramirez
  17. Josh Naylor
  18. Max Muncy
  19. Chas McCormick
  20. Marcus Semien
  21. Lane Thomas
  22. Masataka Yoshida
  23. Jeimer Candelario
  24. Ryan McMahon
  25. Nolan Jones
  26. Xander Bogaerts
  27. Ozzie Albies
  28. Sean Murphy
  29. Dansby Swanson
  30. Vladimir Guerrero Jr
  31. Nico Hoerner
  32. Yordan Alvarez
  33. Rafael Devers
  34. Triston Casas
  35. Nathaniel Lowe
  36. Josh Jung
  37. Christian Walker
  38. Lourdes Gurriel
  39. J.D. Davis
  40. Nolan Arenado
  41. Lars Nootbaar
  42. Seiya Suzuki
  43. Ian Happ
  44. Bo Bichette
  45. George Springer
  46. Steven Kwan
  47. Matt Chapman
  48. Marcell Ozuna
  49. Henry Davis
  50. Andrew McCutchen

Good morning! Yesterday was a really wild slate. The Blue Jays were considered the top stack among various projection systems and completely fell flat, as they have done seemingly all season. The Pirates blew up on Yu Darvish, who was almost unanimously considered the top pitcher. Just a really wacky night that helps humble and reset expectations on every slate. Volume will always be king for this reason – the ability to play probabilities without getting burned on stances.

Today is another weird one. Some iffy weather spots, and not a lot of great pitching. I would really prefer to spread my bullets today on some teams that I feel are going overlooked. Once starting lineups come out and ADP gets more static, these targets will become clearer. For now, the best way to do this is honestly looking at my pitching preferences and target the offenses facing these pitchers. I’m not getting cute or controversial with those selections, people will not be taking the offenses facing these pitchers often. It’s an easy way to get leverage on the field.

I truly do plan on spreading out my exposures today. If there’s one team I want to target more than the others it’s the Cardinals. Merrill Kelly is having a really nice season. His last five starts however have been very average, with an ERA and xFIP of 4. Not terrible, not great. Insert the Cardinals, who in that same range (since June 1st) are 5th in the majors in wRC+ against RHP. This is an offense that on paper matches this statistic. Their collective ADP does not reflect this. I’ve been burned by Merrill Kelly before, and I’ll triple down here and take the Cardinals today to get the best of him. I’ll likely not have any onslaughts until lineups come out, so for now I will stack them with one-offs and contrarian stacks.

Good luck today if you’re drafting! Badge Bros are going live at 12PM ET to break down each game on the slate today. See you there!

Nez


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